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RMB appreciation
06:00, 1969-Dec-31
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Now many people are concerned about the revaluation of this topic, but do not understand the United States to force the real intention of the RMB appreciation, and now I this shallow express my personal opinion! believe everyone 80 years of "Japan's economic recession\Some may say it is speculative Group International "American Soros Foundation" to conduct, but, you never thought of it back Is not the U.S. government's backing? Next, I carefully analyze the circumstances surrounding these events and you will understand. starting from 1980, particularly in 1990 and 1995, the first Japanese American and second gap between the GDP number? Japan's GDP more than half of U.S. GDP! This is also the only time so far in other countries and the United States reduced to half of the economic gap between the degree. Japanese cheer: As long as more than the U.S. GDP, Japan can resume a "normal country" again! Americans do not say anything. It stands to reason, or U.S. allies Japan and its economy is the U.S. support for its U.S. division of Japan did not need (to be split, split up when World War II,Cheap Dresses, but also do not have to wait 80-90 years). Japan, the United States nor its allies use the "subversive sedition\Countries in the world are excited looking forward to Japan's GDP than the U.S. GDP, the "historic moment"! Japanese companies even more crazy, the symbol of the U.S. economy - the Japanese bought Rockefeller Plaza! Spiritual symbol of the United States - the Japanese bought Hollywood! The American people fell into the bottom of mind. "World First" on the fast retain his job! The pride of the American people in a sharp decline, began to spread hatred of non-Japanese sentiment. 1980, Japan's GDP on the approaching half of the United States. One thing that took place in 1985, 1985, the United States to rope in other five countries (the G7) to force the Japanese signed. Of "administrative measures" to force appreciation of the yen. In fact, a central idea is that the Bank of Japan shall not be "excessive" intervention in the foreign exchange market. Japan was the U.S. dollar foreign exchange reserves on hand are sufficient, if the Bank of Japan intervention, the yen can not value. Unfortunately Yeah, Japan was to the potential of the eunuchs. U.S. military and political penetration, and even the Constitution are all Americans to help it tailor-made, like the Plaza Accord was not signed can not. ∪ Mu Xun felt Tsui curse significantly less execution beetle Otogura? lazy excuse? 985 years, the Plaza Agreement in September to the beginning of 1988. U.S. demands appreciation of the yen. Under the agreement pushed up the yen, the yen-dollar exchange rate from the agreement prior to 1 U.S. dollar rose to 240 yen in May 1986 when 160 yen to 1 dollar. Since the Reagan Administration insisted that the yen is still not in place, through the form of verbal intervention to push up the yen. Thus, in early 1988, the yen rose further against the dollar to 1 U.S. dollar 120 yen, just before the Plaza Accord than the exchange rate has doubled. Americans satisfied? No. Read on, from February 1993 to April 1995, when the Clinton administration's Treasury Secretary Bates made it clear that, in order to correct the Japan-US trade imbalance requires 20% of the appreciation of the yen, the yen exchange rate was roughly 1 dollar is about 120 yen, so the induction of target according to the U.S. government, the yen market quickly rose 100 yen to 1 dollar. , Because of the Clinton Administration to automotive friction at the core of economic relations between Japan and the U.S. adopted a more stringent attitude. To April 1995, the yen's exchange rate against one U.S. dollar surged to 79 yen, setting a historical record. appreciation of the yen's consequences? Rockefeller Plaza, returned to American hands, General Motors Place in this one sold for a net profit of 400 million U.S. dollars to buy in! Japanese large-scale struggling to survive in a loss out of the United States. The American people won! Successfully repelled the attack on the Japanese economy! We can see in case after 1995, Japan and the United States, the ratio of GDP to pull away again, and growing! may be some users still do not understand how appreciation of the yen now? What about with our relationship? Appreciation of the yen, the U.S. on Japan an economic blocking action! Successful development of the Japanese 20 years to the great shift of wealth to the United States. the following example I give you the clear. assumed I was an American consortium, of course I know what will happen in 1985, assuming I am right in 1983, I with 100 billions of dollars into 2.4 trillion yen into the Japanese market, to buy Japanese stocks and real estate, Japan's economic boom led to the stock market and real estate like crazy up in 1985, the Plaza Accord, the yen began to appreciate, to early 1988,The difference between like and love, the stock market and real estate assumptions I have earned a double (5 years to double the minimum assumption a), that is 4.8 trillion yen. At this time, the yen appreciated to 1:120. I put the Japanese real estate and stock sell-off in the year completed, and then converted back to dollars, then that is 40 billion U.S. dollars! In 5 years, I netted 30 billion U.S. dollars! (Or minimum assumptions). Then the Japanese? Abruptly left the huge foreign investment has led to the collapse of Japan's economy! Terms of economics called "bubble economy burst." This is the Japanese often say: "lost decade." I am with interest of 40 billion U.S. dollars back to the U.S., you think the U.S. economy is not strong it? ! ! Japan's "lost decade\Look at my table to know. I'm just an American consortium, and other corporations? Hey, and my assumption is only to 1988, if it is to 1995, the Japanese yen to one seventy-nine, you and I can imagine that in this economic war the United States victory, in the end blow away from Japan on how much money? the United States made enough, the yen now back to 1:140 of the position, strength of the dollar is still the same as 30 years ago! A temporary depreciation of the dollar, there is no damage to the dollar's international status. This US-Japan economic war, the United States win in the end! ! Americans play hooked. In 1998, the same way the four little dragons tigers in Southeast Asia who came again, this is the Asian financial crisis! The only difference, this does not require the Plaza Accord. Because of these tigers dragons of Asia's foreign exchange reserves have a direct check can be victory! But still not overcome the deep pockets, the military strong, to pursue hegemony of the United States, the outcome we have seen, earlier Southeast Asian currencies rose and then fell, the fruits of economic development by the U.S. looted! ! The only market stiffness lived Soros's attack without economic collapse only after the reunification of Hong Kong, to keep the fruits of decades of development in Hong Kong. Soros was launched by the world public opinion (including Hong Kong public opinion), attacking the Hong Kong Government (Chinese government), "the executive intervention in the market," in violation of the rules of market economy, no democracy and freedom, and if China was the world bow to public pressure instead of using "macro-control "to intervene, it will lead to disaster, do not know how many people have as to when Japan committed suicide due to bankruptcy! Mr Tsang was later said: "The night before the Government's intervention decision, I sat in bed crying, not for myself, but afraid of this decision, if wrong, and harm Hong Kong, how I to the central government accountable to the citizens. "We now know why the United States has repeatedly asked him to state," press freedom \and advantages of the bar. the United States stopping it? No, because I had the growth of comprehensive national strength forces threaten the fundamental interests of the United States and the "world" the authority of the recent "China's open support for embattled Annan, the son of the scandal, accused the United States deliberately stir up trouble for personal attack." Is the best evidence. So the U.S. is not happy heart, and we should persecute people, and now forced to weaken the Chinese yuan is the first step, you understand? Know why the central government power to suppress a sudden frenzy of the real estate market in Shanghai and Beijing? Know why the Chinese stock market to suffer so much yet? Central bank governor Zhou Xiaochuan said in March or April of one thing: "There is a 40 billion dollars in foreign real estate speculation in Shanghai, has withdrawn from such foreign investment in China, forget about!" Understand? China's stock market is a weak stock market, it is easy to use by the U.S. consortium. Central can not relax the control on the stock market, otherwise the Chinese economy will collapse in foreign investment attack! A while ago, that is, early in December this year there is another 24 billion U.S. dollars of foreign investment consortium withdrawal Shanghai, China. Now, everyone on the country's macro-control has the advantage of understanding it, that the state has adopted the policy of so many is how the real estate wise and timely the bar (the text file attached to the back of details, interested can read) ! now you know why China should implement national foreign exchange controls, exchange controls, suppressed real estate, stock control, to know why China's huge foreign exchange reserves to maintain, why the central bank has recently introduced new regulations in real estate loans,Jeans, why The Chinese government has been urging the foreign trade balance, why should expand trade with Southeast Asia market and EU market, why should we increase the WTO. fact, the economic war between China and have long been opening up, and back and forth over a few hundred recruited. Most of us know better users also only looking at the Taiwan Strait, staring at one more U.S. military bases in Central Asia. To know the economic collapse of the disaster than a military war, the consequences more serious. Military war no more than two: the "war of aggression" and the "Great Patriotic War." The military "war of aggression," the ultimate goal is to defeat all the other (military and economic power) to the other occupied territories, plundering of resources and control of slavery and exploitation of each other's nationals. Such a thing happened in Chinese history no less, here I will not cite examples of the. Now the U.S. is to military aggression as a means to achieve the purpose of slavery and exploitation of the true intentions of each other (on the strength of weak countries), take a look at today's "Iraq" to see the U.S. actually invaded occupation of Iraq to control Iraq's oil, in order to meet the huge demand in the United States; and the former Soviet Union on the strength of strong (the former Soviet Union have each other to death in the nuclear power system), the economic offensive launched by the United States only to collapse them Soviet split is the best example. Some people may say, that during the Cold War arms race and the then Soviet Union, domestic policy has led to the collapse of the former Soviet Union because of economic disintegration. But you have not thought about the arms race is based on economic strength. Strength of the U.S. economy was stronger than the Soviet Union, the U.S. won and the Soviet Union. Now it is our turn, and our current economic and military power the Soviet Union during the Cold War are not strong, the same is to destroy the United States in China also has nuclear weapons, but the quantity was too little only. That in this round, we should see the wisdom of our leaders, and establish a rational policy to avoid risks and protect themselves is a priority (The good news is that China now has done). However, the United States has not been idle, and, as a first step towards economic offensive that they have taken very early in to the United States, "Carlyle consortium" worldwide speculation that the consortium acquisition of China's "Xuzhou Heavy" such a thing has happened a lot, and I will not enumerate here the. Their purpose is very clear, control of China's core technology for global technological monopoly, forcing?? Volume. At the same time by the exchange rate does not change U.S. dollars cash in before the yuan, forcing the Chinese central bank prints yuan to meet the huge demand for currency exchange for laying down the Chinese economy hints. It is clear to enter, the more secretly can not tallied. Having said that,tote bags, maybe a lot of people do not understand the behavior of a large number of U.S. dollar with the yuan down the Chinese economy have anything to do. Here, I explain: in the absence of a large number of malicious into China with the U.S. consortium in exchange for the yuan before the large dollar, our economy is relatively stable form, but, in fact, the number of China's renminbi issue is far from the accumulation of wealth of our people quantity so much, because any currency, as long as their normal economic activities to ensure on the line,?? to the cost of printing currency is high. example: China has 1.3 billion people, the average wealth per person has a capacity of 10,000 yuan per person, China's total of 13 trillion yuan of wealth, but in real life, each person can put their own All wealth is with me, here on average about an average of 1,000 yuan each person to bring cash (10% of carrying capacity, in fact, much of this volume is already), and the rest in the bank, that is, under normal circumstances under the cash flow (the term as: cash flow) for a 100 billion yuan, multiplied by a certain mutation coefficient, (here for ease of calculation, the ideal values of 100%), which means that under normal economic activities, 2 100 billion yuan in China as long as the issue is enough to meet the country's economic activity. the large number of hostile foreign consortium of funds into China, is apparently pulling the country's economy is the large quantity of domestic consumption, that is to make domestic demand bigger cash flow, so that our In order to meet the needs of mass consumption, will be a lot of printing and distribution of the yuan to meet this demand (when Japan was the case). According to statistics, the international financial markets on investment of 136 trillion. Of which only 1% of the influx of speculative operations in China, according to the current exchange rate, China should release 10.895584 trillion yuan (1.36 * 7.8644 = 10.695584 0.2 = 10.895584 trillion yuan), total amount of currency issuance has exceeded our the existing foreign exchange reserves (1 trillion) of 10 times, count to bring China's total foreign exchange reserves are also tough opponents, this time, China's state-owned economy is the negative 9.895584 trillion yuan, can not count the whole of China people of all wealth, because the country's economic collapse, we also worthless a wealth of hands. If after the yuan appreciation, then hand them to earn a dollar renminbi, China will be the remaining large amounts of RMB. So, people in China and the world will lose confidence, no reserve and the use of the hands of reserves, the yuan or even selling to China's foreign trade activities in frustration, culminating in China's domestic inflation, credit crisis, leading to the external lead to the financial crisis. Inflation in the 40's on the box of matches as a few hundred pieces to sell. If our government in this matter on the RMB exchange rate policy-making errors, then to 30 years when China's economic reform and opening up the results may likely fall into the wrong hands. recent domestic economic forms of view, the objective will be, the form can not be optimistic. It stands to reason, RMB appreciation, and that is worth money, and it should be something before one dollar is as long as 9 or even 8 Mao Mao can be purchased; but now the domestic form, in addition to wages do not rise up outside all the rest the. Xinhua reported: the beginning from August, the Beijing market rising oil price shocks. Into November, the price of rice, flour price, the price of vegetables and non-staple food prices rose in various degrees. Report that is subject to international market prices of soybeans, resulting in oil prices. However, rice follow the trend and rose, 25 kilos of the rich and powerful 12% gain in more than powder, 500 grams of rice rose by 6 cents. It is understood that, in Shanghai, Guangzhou, Shenzhen, grain and other necessities of life is Going once, and continued more than a month, including flour, edible oil has already reached into the highest increase, respectively, and two percent. agricultural prices illustrate the development of our economy and improve. Meanwhile, the prices of agricultural and sideline products to increase farmer's income,Middle of the night, your phone off it, and maintain social stability, to the country's development of a sound domestic environment, the country's development is good, because after all, Chinese farmers Shuliang 占 of the total population Well over 70% of the ratio. However, the four cities in China, prices of the necessities of life decisions outside chance. Continued more than seven months without a stable macro-control and price, on the contrary, lead to housing prices climbing. Economists warn that long, real estate bubble will lead to inflation, inflation will lead to economic crisis. However, this sounds too weak, is now all the signs indicate that inflation is looming ahead of us. contrast in Tokyo in 1996, 1997, Hong Kong, Beijing, Shanghai, Guangzhou, Shenzhen, a city four high housing prices, real estate bubble burst in front of signs already visible. Self-interest to an already trying to drive up the price of local governments to continue, will usher in the merciless punishment of economic laws. Because this round of inflation is the preparedness in case of no issue, and may not be officially recognized, but it is actually already here. This incipient inflation chosen a better time lead to economic crisis - 2007 New Year's Day and Spring Festival. Therefore, more harmful and destructive. If one day the prices of instant noodles began when the economic crisis has not curbed. fuel,Embarrassment of the cities in Gansu Province (Reprinted), water oil and gas in the waves of price increases and overall price increases, China's wealthy class is not in any way affect the normal life, but thousands of ordinary citizens will have to pay more wealth in order to maintain the original the same standard of living, that is, China's high prices, indirectly, by the ordinary urban residents to pay, the Japanese people spent 15 years, Hong Kong people is spent for 14 years. So, China's urban residents spent many years? response to the coming inflation, countries have an financial means. However, the Chinese yuan by the U.S. dollar in the international market attack, within one year appreciation of 5%, and there continue to appreciate the space. China's trade surplus will gradually narrow the yuan's appreciation, the risk of the international market has increased. The necessity of a comprehensive domestic market prices will directly affect the consumer. Finally, forcing the central bank to increase the circulation of RMB, China's inflation this outbreak. This crisis may be in sight. RMB current experience in the international monetary market exchange system reform in China has not had to do, we now know the dollar is going to do? However, we also can not help solve the problem of the international market, the yuan in China, which is so embarrassing. Driven by the real estate prices, overall prices necessities to form two very different international and domestic market. In a sense, this market will move toward the capital of excessive speculation. Plainly, will exacerbate internal rich-poor divide in Chinese society, external to the capital speculators an opportunity. If a deeper level of analysis, the yuan seems to suffer from different aspects of the siege, trying to 30 next year in China and gradually eating away the fruits of economic development. Next, the necessities of life rise will further exacerbate the public's purchasing power to decline further, further reduced the domestic market, China's production capacity will further excess, and finally, inevitably lead to a large number of SMEs in bankruptcy, said come and the economic crisis. really want to defuse the crisis, on the current economic situation, the further increase of macro-control efforts, streamline the management system of the real estate market and take effective measures to bring prices down firmly, so that urban residents in the process of falling prices feel the power of the Chinese economy, thereby enhancing confidence in the future. Perhaps this is the best thing to do one thing, despite some superficial work has been done. we should clearly see the danger of high prices, especially for the destruction of Chinese society is unprecedented. Perhaps it is also not too pessimistic, everything should be turning. Everyone knows that China's economy has undergone major problem, as an apparent failure of high-speed trains, Hong Hong rumbling forward flying, I do not know when it will be derailed, or subversion. Some economists predict that China will be a hard landing in 2008, when social unrest is inevitable. then, out of so many problems, the crux of the problem so? Ma Xiaohe Development and Reform Commission experts pointed out: China is the one aspect of the excess surplus to the overall evolution. As excess capacity, domestic demand is not busy, forced to export Chinese products, but also led to a large number of trade friction, the risk of over-reliance on the international market is growing. Ma Xiaohe, for example: Chinese to everyone in the world to provide a pair of shoes, shoes can be seen how much excess capacity. November 23, the central bank Deputy Governor Su Ning said, the proportion of GDP, final consumption in China from the 80s of last century over 62% to 52.1% in 2005, consumption rate from 48.8% in 1991 to 2005 38.2%, reached the lowest level in history. Consumption rates in China declining, while the world average consumption rate of 78% -79%, compared with the large difference as the sky and the ground. above two, a macroeconomic expert, a financial authority, but that is a common problem, because domestic demand is not busy and could lead to overcapacity, once the risk of a large international market, China will have tens of thousands of industrial enterprises are facing the danger. Let us look at the past few years to promote China's rapid economic development is motivated by anything: If you commanding the overall situation of China's economy can be found to promote rapid economic growth of China's first investment, and second, consumption, exports three can be said that this is on a par "Troika." However, in our practice is "focus on investment and exports, light consumer," This is the problem of representation. Why do Chinese people would "focus on investment and exports, light consumption," it? Knowing that consumption is productive, not consumption will not productive, it is a simple and obvious knowledge of economics, but the layout of the macro-economic development, with Marx's theory of surplus value are not taken care of? further careful analysis, you will find very interesting phenomenon: First, local government re-investment, the performance of previous years is "zone" heat, then the "infrastructure" hot, then in the present "real estate" hot; Second, exports of heavy and medium-sized enterprises, whether public companies or private enterprises, as long as the formation of a production scale, eyes are aimed at the international market, large cars, household appliances, small shoes, socks, cigarette lighters, an ancient brain export. On the "investment" hot run, high prices of way of the common people and even the wealth of two generations, there is a generation to carry a heavy debt; on the "export" heat run, the trade surplus continues to rise, increasing trade friction pressure of RMB appreciation is growing. economists analysis, since the reform of RMB exchange rate appreciation since the 5%, and now the situation is likely in 2007 would rise 5 percent a year, equivalent to the first 10 years the overall level of appreciation. Well, this is what consequences? Many economists closely guarded secret, I can boldly say that the yuan would mean a lot of exit flow from the different channels, the forces of international money laundering took the opportunity to intervene, even the Chinese corrupt officials, the money washed up. Can be said that before 2007, only heard that foreigners come to China to money laundering, this situation will not change, the Chinese people had finally went abroad to money laundering. To put it more in depth that the Chinese people to create wealth by others quietly "stolen\excess solution is stimulating consumption, and the only way to stimulate consumption is to lower the price. Rates do not drop, the Chinese people's expectations will have a greater pressure not consumption, as well as become part of the Housing Slave money spending. Mr. Ma Xiaohe, said half of China's industrial utilization below 50%, so, in order to reduce risk, we must expand domestic demand. and how to expand domestic demand it? Chinese people's consumption rate is 38.2%, world average consumption rate is 78% -79%; average price earnings ratio of China's population is one to 10, the world's average price earnings ratio is one to five. 2 In contrast, the Chinese economy on the exposed root of the problem is the ridiculously high house prices will plunder the wealth of Chinese residents of a space, use now to spend? So the Chinese people's consumption rate hit a record low. Some experts predict China Rates dropped a point each, will increase 10 billion a year more than the market consumption, while China prices from the first three quarters of 2006 the combined average price, at least 30% of the decline in space, that is, as long as China 30% decline in house prices, the China market will increase by 300 billion a year the total spending, China's economic problems solved, and the Chinese people also from a better life. the contrary, our decision-making If the leaders of the things to control bad this situation, our economy will collapse, China will be?? China's national strength after weakening, will suffer a military attack by foreign powers. we all know we are living in more adverse international environment. face complicated international situation, China must have the ability to win two wars, one military war is economic war. means of warfare to seize other countries and with other people's wealth in human history is very common . Even in the 21st century can see today. in order to protect lives and property of Chinese people, and the possible outbreak of military conflict, China must build a strong army, a strong navy, strong and powerful Air Force Space Force (Space forces). in mankind enters the 21st century, who occupied the high ground of space, grasps the initiative in future wars. any idea of the demilitarization of space, only a pipe dream! sage when he said: backward to a beating! China only by having completely destroyed his opponent's strength, other people dare not to bully China. the same time, mankind enters the 21st century, the international exchange and the globalization of trade, a new war ---- the economic war has replaced the military war, as some people in today's world to win the other part of the property of the principal means. 1997 financial crisis in Southeast Asia is An example of economic war. behind the Southeast Asian countries suffered a major blow. the international financial speculators in the past to use economic means to achieve a means of warfare to achieve objectives. transferred from CDC - Military Channel http://81.china.com in less financial security in Hong Kong at a later war, when he was in Hong Kong Chief Secretary for Administration Donald Tsang and Financial Secretary, Mr Joseph Yam, the Chinese Central Government's support of the intervention with a large number of foreign exchange reserves in Hong Kong the stock market. China's central government sent two central bank vice governor to Hong Kong to require all Chinese-funded institutions in Hong Kong, go all out to support the Hong Kong government's help drive action. After several months of battle, the Hong Kong government successfully fought off Hong Kong as an international financial speculators attempt to cash machines. that the struggle is very intense, the Hong Kong Hang Seng Index change of 1 point, futures trading will be a difference of 230 million Hong Kong dollars. Battle While the Hong Kong Monetary Over the past several years, I have been thinking, if there is no strong backing of China, will not happen, "eight-" to attack the Hong Kong be? After all, the Hong Kong government intervention in the stock market in violation of the international mainstream in today's "rules." < br> China Aviation Oil (Singapore) in the international oil futures market and a loss of 500 million U.S. dollars of Chinese investment in the SAC staff in London again to eat the same period in the financial markets that there are still many things to learn. on oil this one, the Chinese now spend several hundred billion dollars each year. now is the need to get at the international commodity markets on the up Sha. can be said to "grab your deal is off". but , oil and other commodity prices on the Chinese economy is not the most serious hazards. really could cause serious harm to China's economy, the RMB exchange rate system and the rising real estate market. I always felt it was necessary to RMB exchange rate as a breakthrough, the collapse of China's economy to win the Chinese people's economic achievements. from which to float the RMB appreciation and cries, I seem to smell the gunpowder in military warfare. now have a say heard sing better than saying, let the yuan float freely determined by the market. Is market ghosts to decide? determined by the market, sounds fair, we have the right. But a closer look, which markets the world are not by the small number of people speaking in it? let the yuan exchange rate determined by the market, the truth is, they determine. Chinese government and people must not forget that in 1997 Southeast Asia's financial crisis. now a significant part of foreign capital is laid ambush. and so they broke the door of the United States to China (RMB exchange rate to float freely), the renminbi pedestal, profiteering. In short, China we must build with one fearing neither hardship nor death the spirit of the powerful army, a strong navy, strong and powerful Air Force Space Force (Space Force) to address possible military war. Meanwhile, the Chinese have to build love the country, with an international perspective , proficient in international competition rules, financial "Iron Army" to deal with economic warfare. Only in this way, China's security, the people's wealth will be protected! Transfer from: http://bbs6.news.163.com/zhongmei / 469035,304. html Leave a Comment { Last Page } { Page 156 of 158 } { Next Page } |
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